• Skip to primary navigation
  • Skip to main content
  • Skip to primary sidebar

North Carolina Tea Party

North Carolina's Home For Liberty

  • Home
  • Headlines
  • Opinion
  • About us
  • Contact Us

Senate Forecast, 11/23: GOP still nets four, but it could get much worse

December 10, 2009 by NC Tea Party Staff Leave a Comment

Current 2010 Senate Outlook: Net Republican Gain of 4 Seats

US Senate Old Picture

Previous forecast, 11/17: Republican net gain of four seats

New polls: Arkansas, Florida, Missouri

Rankings change: As Rubio gains in the Republican primary and as Meek gains on Rubio in the general election, Florida moves ahead of North Carolina and Louisiana.

Commentary: It is worth noting that while the Senate forecast has been stuck on a Republican net gain of four for the entire month of November, it seems more likely that the situation will get worse for Democrats, rather than better.  The are two main reasons for this.

First, Democratic-held seats in New York and Wisconsin are currently uncompetitive, but would become lean-Republican if the GOP scored top recruits.  This is because Russ Feingold slightly trails Tommy Thompson in Wisconsin, and Kirsten Gillibrand signifcantly trails Rudy Giuliani.

Second, as the economy continues to tank, there could be an across the board shift toward Republicans in these seats.

The combination of these two factors makes a ten-seat Republican pickup possible.  If Republicans sweep of the races on the Senate chart, plus New York and Wisconsin, the Senate will be 50-50 for 2011-2012.  And that is assuming no of the Conservadems switches parties (cough, Lieberman, cough), thereby throwing Senate control to Republicans outright.

Bad times for Democrats electorally.  The entire forecast can be found in the extended entry.

Read the full article here.

Filed Under: Archives

Reader Interactions

Leave a Reply Cancel reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Primary Sidebar

Archives

  • January 2021
  • October 2019
  • July 2019
  • June 2019
  • May 2019
  • April 2019
  • March 2019
  • February 2015
  • March 2014
  • February 2014
  • November 2013
  • October 2013
  • August 2013
  • February 2013
  • January 2013
  • July 2012
  • June 2012
  • May 2012
  • April 2012
  • March 2012
  • February 2012
  • January 2012
  • December 2011
  • November 2011
  • October 2011
  • September 2011
  • August 2011
  • July 2011
  • June 2011
  • May 2011
  • April 2011
  • February 2011
  • January 2011
  • December 2010
  • November 2010
  • October 2010
  • September 2010
  • August 2010
  • July 2010
  • June 2010
  • May 2010
  • April 2010
  • March 2010
  • February 2010
  • January 2010
  • December 2009
  • November 2009
  • July 2009
  • June 2009

Copyright © 2022 · News Pro on Genesis Framework · WordPress · Log in